Learn Betting Math

Plain-English explainers for the math behind sports betting. Worked examples, no fluff.

Odds basics

Parlays and combinations

Finding and sizing your edge

  • How to remove vig from odds — what the sportsbook's hold is, and how to back it out to find the "fair" implied probability.
  • What is Kelly staking? — the formula for sizing bets based on your edge, plus why most bettors use half- or quarter-Kelly.

Prediction markets (Kalshi & Polymarket)